As Trump's economic policies take hold, the stock market tumbles, recession appears to be heading our way, and the president seems blase about it all

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Donald Trump's unpredictable handling of tariffs has prompted many economists to take a dark view of the U.S. stock market over the next several months, according to a report last night from The New York Times (NYT). Under the headline "It was a bad day at the stock market," Matthew Cullen writes at NYT's The Evening newsletter:

The American stock market tumbled today to its lowest point in several months. The S&P 500 dropped 2.7 percent, its worst single-day decline of the year. And the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped 4 percent, fueled in part by sharp drops in the stock prices of some of the U.S.’s most valuable companies — like Tesla, which fell by more than 15 percent.

By most measures, the U.S. economy is still in good shape. But as stocks have recoiled over the past three weeks, many economists’ predictions have turned gloomier.

In short, Cullen reports, it was not just a bad day at the stock market, it's been almost a bad month. It probably does not help the public's mood that Trump doesn't seem much concerned about the possibility of a recession. In fact, he admits "the R word" might be in our near-term future, and the headline on a Times report Sunday suggests a downturn could come because Trump's economic policies are starting to take hold."  Cullen writes:

Analysts we spoke to said the economic angst was in part a result of the uncertainty around tariffs. Over the past few weeks, President Trump has threatened, imposed, suspended and resumed levies on America’s three largest trade partners. Today, retaliatory tariffs by China on U.S. agricultural products came into effect. And later this week, the Trump administration is set to put in place a 25 percent tariff on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports.

When Trump was asked this weekend about an economic slowdown, he acknowledged that there could be “a period of transition.” He declined to rule out the possibility of a recession, and instead insisted that, in the long run, his policies would bring “wealth back to America.”

One economic bright spot: Restaurants are having an unexpectedly good winter.