Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trump seems convinced Democrats will not attempt to impeach him because he's conducted a successful admin; will Dem officials and their supporters agree?

(Daily Mail, Tik Tok)


Donald Trump seems confident Democrats will not attempt to impeach him in the wake of their wipeout victory in the midterm elections. Is Trump's confidence well-founded? As a matter of justice, absolutely not. As a matter of political will, do Democrats have the right stuff to hold the President accountable? That seems doubtful. The list of Trump's impeachable crimes surely is long. What if Democratic leaders decide to look the other way? My guess is they might be in for an unpleasant response from their supporters, including your humble blogger.

The New Republic (TNR) addresses the issue of accountability for Trump under the headline "Trump says there's no way Democrats are going to impeach him." This eye-opening subhead follows: "It's time for Democrats to prove him wrong."

I agree with the subhead sentiment so strongly that it almost made me choke on my morning oatmeal. I suspect many other Democrats who went to the polls on Tuesday to produce a historic "Blue Tidal Wave" also agree. Let's check out TNR's take on the issue, as Malcolm Ferguson writes: 

President Trump couldn’t seem to care less about Republicans losing control of the House and Senate to Democrats on Tuesday night.

The president offered brief remarks on the GOP carnage following a baffling ceremony at the construction site of his controversial White House ballroom.

Trump seems convinced that Democrats won't touch him because he has presided over such a successful administration -- one he says, unsurprisingly, that is the most successful in history. Trump says these words with a straight face, but does he believe Democrats agree with his appraisal? Apparently so. Ferguson writes about the president's interaction with reporters on the subject:

“Sir, you held 30 rallies across the country, gave your final speech in front of the Reflecting Pool,” a reporter asked, referencing the way Trump centered himself in so many of the failed House and Senate campaigns. “Do you have any regrets about the way you closed out the campaign?”

“No, look if I were on the ballot we would’ve won. You saw the people, they were packed. Thousands and thousands of people at every rally. And if I was on the ballot, we would’ve won.… There was such love at those rallies, it was incredible. We weren’t able to transfer the love to candidates.”

Imagine how badly Republicans would have gotten trounced in the midterms if Americans did not hold such enduring love for Trump. In short order, Trump's responses got even more bizarre, Ferguson writes:

When asked if he was concerned about the prospect of impeachment from a Democratic-controlled Congress, the president replied, “Not even a little bit.”

“I think it would destroy the Democrat Party if they did that. It’s impeachment for no reason. What, for having a successful country? Our country is more successful now than at any time in its history.”

“Watch the beam go up,” he suddenly declared, before pointing to a large piece of metal being hoisted into the air over the construction site.

Based on those responses, one might wonder if a beam had fallen on Trump's head. We have, however, no reports of that happening. We do have a bit more nonsense though:

The president also said he would’ve “done nothing different” regarding the Iran war—despite acknowledging it lost Republicans the election, as Vice President JD Vance noted. He also said that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s job was safe for the moment, even as other reports reveal Trump has been considering firing him and blaming him for the Iran war. 

Polls show that the Iran War and its repercussions -- such as inflation -- played a major role in Trump and his party getting trounced at the polls. Yet Trump says he would not do anything different regarding the war? It looks like we have a slow learner in the White House -- and that's not good for anyone.


Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Democrats unleash a Blue Tsunami on Trumpism in the midterm elections, perhaps marking a return to competent government that can actually govern in the U.S.

(Getty Images, The Week)


When reports early this week (including here at Legal Schnauzer) showed that Democrats -- according to the final poll of the 2026 cycle -- were leading U.S. Senate races in seven swing states, many Americans who yearn to be free from the chaos of our nightmarish experience under the narcissistic reign of Donald Trump likely started seeing reason to hope. Perhaps they even started forming headlines in their heads that signaled a possible escape from a distinctly ugly and corrupt form of Republicanism that has controlled much of our government over the past 10 years.

If hopeful headlines were to become a reality, they likely would begin to appear this morning, on the day after the midterm elections. Well, that day is here and so are the headlines, such as this one at Raw Story -- "Breaking: Shocker as a red-state revolt hands Democrats the Senate and full control of Congress." For good measure, a similar story, published jointly at Rolling Stone and Yahoo! News, carried this headline: "Democrats win total control of Congress." It includes this passage about what lies ahead:

With a majority in the Senate and House, Democrats are now free to pursue an ambitious legislative agenda during Trump's final two years in office. Trump is entering his lame-duck period as a deeply unpopular president beset by scandal and crises of his own making. While he will likely use his presidential veto to keep many of a Democratic Congress' bills from passing, control over both Houses will give the Democrats a powerful platform to both investigate Trump's actions in the first half of his second term and set the tone for their agenda going into the next open presidential election in 2028.

The Republicans are well aware of this.

"They will turn every committee of Congress into an investigative body, and they'll go after the president's family, the Cabinet, his donors and friends," Speaker of the House Mike Johnson told a room of Christian conservatives earlier this year. "Half of you in this room will be targeted. I run the protection program. I'll take care of you," he added.

Johnson probably never dreamed a Blue Wave would cost him his speakership. But come January, he will turn over the gravel to Democrat Hakeem Jeffries. That might mean Johnson won't be able to protect anyone. The Republican indignities, after tying their fortunes almost 100 percent to Trump, probably will not end there. How dominating were the Democrats on election day? A look at a scorecard from our preview story shows the leads Dems held in the final New York Times/Siena poll:

  • Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed +11 (53–42)

  • Texas: James Talarico +7 (50–43)

  • Maine: Troy Jackson +6 (51–45)

  • Ohio: Sherrod Brown +5 (49–44)

  • Kansas: Adam Hamilton +5 (49–44)

  •  Alaska: Mary Peltola +2 (48–46)

  • Iowa: Josh Turek +1 (48–47)

Now, let's look at how things turned out last night:

* In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed led Republican Mike Rogers 51.9% to 46.1% when Associated Press (AP) called the race;

* In Texas, James Talarico, at 59.4%, led Republican Ken Paxton when AP called the race;

* In Maine, Troy Jackson, led 53.9% to 46.0% when Republican Susan Collins conceded;

* In Ohio, Sherrod Brown defeated Republican Jon Husted, 49.6% to 45.5%;

* In Kansas, Adam Hamilton defeated Republican Roger Marshall, 51.1% to 45.9%;

* In Alaska, Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan led Democrat Mary Peltola, 48.7% to 47.5%. That was at 2:20 a.m. CT, and the race had not been called;

*In Iowa, Josh Turek defeated Republican Ashley Hinson, 50.5% to 46.4%

Significant Senate races that did not make the Times/Siena top seven also were held yesterday. Here is how they turned out:

* In Georgia, Jon Ossoff handily defeated Republican Mike Collins, 58.9% to 41.1%

* In South Carolina, Dr. Annie Andrews pulled perhaps the biggest surprise of the day, defeating Republican Darline Graham, 51.1% to 46.7%

* In North Carolina, Roy Cooper defeated Republican Michael Whatley, 58.7 % to 39.1%

* Mississippi produced the closest Senate race of the day, with Scott Colom leading Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith, 48.95% to 48.94%. AP had not called the race as of 2;50 a.m. CT.

How do the final poll numbers compare to yesterday's results? The poll had Democrats leading in seven races, and they won six of them, with no losses -- and the Alaska race too close to call. In the other four races we spotlighted, -- in traditionally deep red territory across the South (stretching from North Carolina to Mississippi) -- Democrats performed remarkably well. They won handily in North Carolina and Georgia, pulled a stunning upset in South Carolina, and hanging tight in a Mississippi race that was too close to call. Raw Story, in an article posted at 10:38 CT,  provides an overview of what yesterday's results mean, so let's take a look:

Democrats have won control of the U.S. Senate, ending the Republican majority and dealing a major blow to President Donald Trump’s agenda.
NBC News and Decision Desk HQ projected Tuesday night that Democrats will hold at least 51 seats, enough to overturn the GOP’s 53-47 majority. Democrats needed a net gain of four seats and have flipped six so far. Because Vice President JD Vance breaks ties, Democrats needed 51 seats rather than 50 to take control.
Democrats flipped Republican-held seats in Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas, according to NBC’s results tracker, several of them in states Trump carried by double digits in 2024.
The win hands Democrats both chambers of Congress, after they were projected to take the House earlier Tuesday. When the new Congress convenes in January, they’ll control the Senate agenda and committee gavels, along with the power to block Trump’s judicial and executive branch nominees. Trump still holds a veto, which he has promised to use against Democratic legislation.

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Trump and his Republican enablers have blazed a trail of destruction and dysfunction, but the road to recovery begins today if Dems can take control of the House and Senate

(Dr. Ahmad Rehan Kahn, X)


America's democracy is in dire need of repair, as the result of probably the most damaging presidency in U.S. history, certainly the worst in our lifetimes. The process of recovery begins today as Americans head to the polls for the 2026 midterm elections. Donald Trump, contrary to his efforts to convince MAGA cultists of his ubiquity, is not on the ballot. Getting rid of him will have to come later. But the process of ridding Congress of his GOP enablers begins today. And make no mistake, Trump is a miserable failure as president -- ignorant, incompetent, short-sighted, uncaring, and an embarrassment on the world stage. But congressional Republicans have abdicated their oversight authority over the executive branch, allowing Trump to do whatever he wants; it's like letting a toddler loose in china shop with a baseball bat. The problem is not just Trump; it's also the GOPers who have sat on their hands while Trump engages in one flawed, shortsighted effort at another. In other words, Republicans created this mess, so they are not likely to be part of the solution. In what has become a common theme in American politics over the past 30 years or so, GOPers are wallowing in a mess of their own making, and it's imperative that voters put Democrats in charge of both houses of Congress so they can clean up after the GOP and start America on the road to recovery from our horribly failed experiment in Trumpisim.

Ana Novarro, a Nicaraguan-American political strategist and commentator who once was an ardent Republican but has been highly critical of Donald Turmp, addressed this issue the other day. Speaking on The View's Behind the Table podcast, Navarro lambasted Republicans for abandoning their responsibility to hold the president accountable:

“They have completely ceded their duty to be a check and balance on the executive,” she declared. “They're just rubber stamps.”

Navarro pointed to Trump's tariffs, the cost of living and what she called “the absolute cruelty” of his attacks on diversity programs, including those affecting Black and brown Americans, women and gay service members. 

She was particularly scathing about Trump's expensive architectural ambitions.
His fixation with “the Kennedy Center and the reflecting pool and the arch and the ballroom” has continued, she said, “while people can't make ends meet.”
The good news is that yesterday's final poll before the midterms indicates Democrats are in a solid position to take control of both the House and Senate.That's from a Substack post from independent progressive commentator Brian Tyler Cohen, who writes under the headline "An 11th hour midterm nightmare for Trump and Republicans; the final NYT/Siena poll suggests that a blue wave is heading for our shores":

The New York Times/Siena College just released its final poll of the cycle, and for Republicans, “cataclysmic” is the word I’d use. Democrats lead in all seven key Senate races:

  • Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed +11 (53–42)

  • Texas: James Talarico +7 (50–43)

  • Maine: Troy Jackson +6 (51–45)

  • Ohio: Sherrod Brown +5 (49–44)

  • Kansas: Adam Hamilton +5 (49–44)

  • Alaska: Mary Peltola +2 (48–46)

  • Iowa: Josh Turek +1 (48–47)

To summarize, Democrats have leads of 5 points or more in Michigan, Texas, Maine, Ohio, and Kansas -- with leads of 2 points or less in Alaska and Iowa. The good news does not end there, as Cohen writes:

As for North Carolina, per the NYT: “The surveys did not include North Carolina, where polls have long found the Democrat leading and Republicans have pared back their campaign spending.”

If this holds, Democrats flip seven Republican seats and take the Senate by a margin of 54–46. (And not to put the cart about 10,000 yards before the horse, but in 2028, Republicans will be defending North Carolina and Wisconsin. Win both, and there is a universe where Democrats head toward 2030 with 55 seats).

But wishcasting aside, let’s get through the 2026 midterm cycle first. 

Cohen provides some important warnings, starting with this one: The Democrats are fighting an adversary that is rundamentally dishonest -- and has been on the wrong side of history for roughly 65 years. To find a Republican president who was a big enough person for the job, you have to go back to Dwight Eisenhower (1953-61), who was thoughtful (he donated his farm to the National Park Service), intelligent (he was president of Columbia University), tough (he was chief of staff of the U.S. Army), and forward-thinking (he gave us the U.S. Interstate Highway System). Will Eisenhower be the last admirable Republican president we ever have?

Let's consider what the GOP has given us since "Ike's" second term ended: In 1960, Barry Goldwater openly fought against civil rights; In 1969-70, Richard Nixon picked up where Goldwater left off by playing the race card with development of his "Southern Strategy," famously championed by aide Pat Buchanan, who said, "Nixon should cut the Democratic Party and the country in half. In my view, we would have the far larger half." Nixon's term ended with Watergate, which was the very embodiment of presidential corruption until Trump came along.

In 1980, Ronald Reagan began the destruction of the American middle class by instituting "trickle-down economics," which lessened the tax burden on the wealthy, while dumping more on the shoulders of those who could least afford it -- exacerbating income inequality, which has continued to this day. To top it off, Reagan embraced the notion of an all-powerful executive (which Trump has taken to new levels) by openly defying Congress (and a law that Reagan himself had signed) and launching the Iran-Contra scandal. 

George H.W. Bush took over in 1989 and violated his "no new taxes" campaign pledge, raising taxes and leading to the economic recession of 1990-91. In 2000, George W. Bush lost the popular vote, but the U.S. Supreme Court gifted him an electoral-college win over Democrat Al Gore. Officials with the Bill Clinton administration warned Bush that Al-Qaeda would be the No. 1 national-security threat they would face. But the Bush team seemed unprepared for the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. Although terrorists from Saudi Arabia planned and launched the 9/11 attacks, Bush proceeded to start a war with Iraq, largely due to flawed intelligence and pressure from his own cabinet and Congress. The war proved to be a massive drain on U.S. resources and caused our international goodwill to take a hit.

Today's elections can be viewed, not as a showdown about individuals, but parties -- and that reminds us of a Feb. 2024 survey of historians and experts that found the worst president in U.S. history is Donald Trump (No. 45) and George W. Bush is a lowly No. 32. Meanwhile, our most recent Democratic president, Joe Biden, is ranked No. 14. Perhaps voters should keep that survey in mind as they approach polling places today. Let's return to the piece by Brian Tyler Cohen, who offers intriguing advice for progressive voters:

These poll numbers are not self-executing. Vote, and then get your friends and family to vote. Remember— we are entitled to nothing. And also remember— Republicans will lie, cheat, and steal to hold on to power, so we don’t just need to win, we need to run up the margins. That’s how this poll becomes reality.

Running up the margins serves another purpose, though. The difference between a Biden win and a Trump win in 2020 was about 42,000 votes across three states. Trump had no legitimate basis to cry fraud— but the razor thin margins certainly didn’t make things less ambiguous. But if we can deliver a blue tsunami on Election Day, then Trump’s inevitable post-election lawsuit hurricane will likely be reduced to a puddle. It’s one thing to litigate 42,000 ballots. It’s another thing entirely to sustain losses in Texas, Kansas, Ohio, North Carolina, Michigan, Maine, and so on— and yet still pretend that you were robbed.

There is merit to the idea that the election results can be “too big to rig.” Let’s aim for that.

While I stated up top that Trump is not on the ballot, Cohen does not buy that idea -- and he makes some strong points in the process:

You’ll hear “Trump isn’t on the ballot.” But he is. His party has handed him every ounce of its autonomy. They have said nothing as the tariffs sent costs surging, as the Iran war sent gas prices to record highs, and as the Epstein files have been buried. Republicans in Congress are supposed to be in a co-equal branch of government, a check on the executive, and yet they’re too chickenshit to lift a finger in opposition to the president.

Not only will Ken Paxton, Darline Graham, John James, Susan Collins, and Michael Whatley, among others, be rubber stamps for Trump, they are there expressly because they won’t stand up to him. The price of admission into today’s Republican Party is slavish devotion to one man. 

Cohen describes an unhealthy and dysfunctional form of governance, especially when you consider Trump already has proven to be a dismal failure as president -- and he's getting worse with time. Progressives, Independents, and conservatives who have come to their senses have the power to change that -- and it starts today. Cohen writes:

If you like how expensive everything is, if you like footing the bill for a war with Iran, if you like that the president is growing his fortune by billions in office while you choose between food and medicine, if you like that he was friends with Jeffrey Epstein and his DOJ is still sitting on the files, then the Republican Party will happily preserve the status quo.

But if you want a party that holds the powerful to account and focuses on working Americans instead of the billionaires who exploit them, vote. In every state, in every district. For those who think that politics doesn’t affect them, I should remind you: If you drive, eat, shop, heat or cool your home, need healthcare, or pay taxes, politics affects you. And you should ensure that your voice is heard.

We deserve so much better. Let’s make sure we get it.

Monday, November 2, 2026

Federal judge tosses Trump's Alaska lawsuit as an attempt to unlawfully interfere with a midterm election, while possibly taking another step toward authoritarian rule

(Newsweek, Facebook)


The Trump administration's attempt to interfere in Alaska's U.S. Senate election was not just designed to increase the chances that a Republican would win, thereby furthering White House hopes that it could continue dealing with a Congress where the GOP still controlled at least one chamber. It also was intended to move the United States closer to authoritarian rule. That is the conclusion of Adam Klasfeld who writes at All Rise News under the headline "Rising this week: the sacred, secret ballot":

Pro-democracy electorates have rejected authoritarian rulers this year in Hungary, Serbia, and Brazil.

Israel appears to be on the cusp of ending Benjamin Netanyahu’s more than 18-year tenure as prime minister, which he has used to consolidate power, weaken the country’s judiciary, and attempt to outrun growing domestic and international criminal liability. Opposition Jewish and Arab parties signaled a willingness to form a coalition, which — if finalized — would mark another blow to the global forces of illiberalism.

On Tuesday, it’s U.S. voters’ turn.

Will Americans follow suit and reject Trump's authoritarian overtures? If they don't, many observers (including yours truly) fear that our democracy might swirl down the drain, never to be seen again -- at least as we have come to know it. Klasfeld writes:

Critical to that effort will be the cornerstone of any free society: the sacred, secret ballot. No government with democratic legitimacy would ever propose asking a court to let agents of the state interrogate citizens about how they voted, but that is exactly what the Trump regime has asked a judge to allow it to do in Alaska.

On Sunday, a federal judge emphatically rejected that effort because the relief that it requested would violate a sacred right.

The Trump Justice Department asked U.S. District Judge Sharon L. Gleason to block any Alaska Senate election outcome that ends in the defeat of the Republican incumbent “pending an investigation to determine whether votes cast for Daniel J. Sullivan were meant to be cast for Senator Sullivan.”

Upon what did Judge Gleason base her ruling? Klasfeld addresses the legal particulars, and it's not a stretch to say she might have saved the rule of law and American democracy -- at least for now. Who knows what schemes the White House might be planning in the event Democrats wind up controlling the Senate? Klasfeld writes: 

Judge Gleason found that “requiring the segregation of ballots cast by voters for Daniel J. Sullivan so that these voters can be further investigated by law enforcement is not a remedy that this Court can or should order as it clearly violates Alaskans’ right to a secret ballot.”

To establish standing, a party must request relief that a judge has the power to grant: a concept known as “redressability,” but what Trump Justice Department lawyers asked for was anathema to a free society.

“More fundamentally, the United States provides no workable plan as to how it proposes to segregate ballots cast for Daniel J. Sullivan on Election Day and then conduct a court-ordered unspecified ‘investigation’ of those ballots in a manner that would preserve voter secrecy,” the ruling states. 

Why has the secret ballot come to be seen as "sacred" by those who value and defend election integrity? A case styled McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Commission, 514 U.S. 334 (1995) provides insight. Consider these words from the opinion . . .

The term "liberty" in the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution makes the First Amendment applicable to the States. The Fourteenth Amendment reads, in relevant part: "No State shall . . . deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law . . . ." U. S. Const., Amdt. 14, §1. Referring to that Clause in his separate opinion in Whitney v. California, 274 U.S. 357 (1927), Justice Brandeis stated that "all fundamental rights comprised within the term liberty are protected by the Federal Constitution from invasion by the States. The right of free speech, the right to teach and the right of assembly are, of course, fundamental rights." Id., at 373 (Brandeis, J., concurring). Although the text of the First Amendment provides only that "Congress shall make no law . . . abridging the freedom of speech . . . ," Justice Brandeis' view has been embedded in our law ever since. See First Nat. Bank of Boston v. Bellotti, 435 U.S. 765, 779-780 (1978); see also Stevens, The Bill of Rights: A Century of Progress, 59 U. Chi. L. Rev. 13, 20, 25-26 (1992).

In short, the right to a secret ballot is derived from the fundamental "liberty" rights associated with the First and Fourteenth Amendments -- and it is perhaps most closely related to freedom of speech. The ACLU, a plaintiff in the Alaska case, seemed to be thinking along those lines in its brief, as Klasfeld reports:

“Imagine if the federal executive could pluck a few words like ‘election integrity’ from some statutory preamble and, on that basis alone, bend the machinery of state elections to his will, preemptively blocking certification of a U.S. Senate election to protect his preferred candidate from defeat and then subjecting voters to a law-enforcement-led inquest about who they ‘really’ supported,” ACLU attorney Ari J. Savitzky wrote in a blistering filing. “Imagine that world and ask whether it is what the framers wanted or precisely what they most feared.”

On Oct. 30, Alaska’s top federal prosecutor Michael Heyman signaled at a press conference that he was willing to do just that.

“Federal and state law enforcement, including both the Alaska State Troopers on my right and the FBI on my left, are working to make sure that your vote counts in a way that you meant and intended it to count,” U.S. Attorney Heyman declared at a press conference.

The Trump Justice Department liked that plan so much that it publicized his comments online.  

Unfortunately for the White House, Heyman's view did not carry the day. It did, however, capture the attention of the ACLU and Judge Gleason, as Klasfeld notes:

Citing these remarks, the ACLU’s motion states: “Chillingly, the United States also does not deny that the relief it seeks here would eviscerate voters’ constitutional right to a secret ballot.”

Judge Gleason agreed, quoting Heyman’s remarks at the press conference and making ballot secrecy a central part of her ruling. She said that, because of this defect, any attempt to revise the complaint would be “futile.”

The New York Times has uncovered powerful evidence that top aides for Democratic candidate Mary Peltola and lawyers for the DSCC engaged in a ballot-stacking scheme apparently designed to sow confusion among voters regarding two Republican candidates named Dan Sullivan. While calling the move "wrong and strategically boneheaded," Klasfeld also stated, "It’s a legal and common ploy in U.S. politics, being exploited by Trump toward authoritarian ends." Klasfeld provides additional reasons the Trump argument fails as a matter of law, while pointing out hypocrisy emanating from the White House and the GOP:

As a legal matter, the state of Alaska points out that the revelations “add nothing.” That’s because the Supreme Court of Alaska decided that it doesn’t matter whether Dan J. Sullivan was a “good faith” candidate or a spoiler dreamed up in campaign war rooms in Anchorage or Washington, D.C. A candidate who meets the legal and constitutional requirements is allowed to run, end stop, and Republicans have run the same disreputable playbook numerous times across the country — including against Peltola recently by supporting a fringe candidate who was incarcerated in New York.

“Countless similarly questionable candidacies surely exist throughout the country in every election,” Alaska Assistant Attorney General Margaret Paton Walsh noted in a legal brief.

In Florida, Republicans successfully won an election by backing a candidate with the same surname as then-Democratic state Sen. Jose Javier Rodriguez, who lost by 32 votes to his GOP opponent. The results stood. What’s more, the scheme was legal and only led to a successful prosecution because of the illegal campaign contribution that came with it.

Until now, no federal government has suggested that a race could be nullified because of that common practice. 

“Pursuing ‘election integrity’ by sending armed government agents to question voters about how they chose to mark their ballots would be Orwellian and, indeed, illegal,” the ACLU told the judge. “Congress has forbidden such interference with voting many times over.” 

The Trump administration reportedly has already filed a notice of appeal with the Ninth Circuit. That should not get very far, but perhaps it will cause a post-election delay that might work in the White House's favor. In Klasfeld's view, this is just another example of our current president (and his party) acting in ways that run contrary to American norms:

Whatever the justifications, democracies do not propose, conduct, or tenaciously seek investigations of how voters intended to cast their ballots. Dictatorships do, but their requests typically come before captured judiciaries and controlled populations. That is not currently the case in the United States.

From polls to early voting records to humiliating courtroom defeats, the architects of the latest election interference scheme appear to be heading for a strong rebuke on Tuesday — in the courts and the ballot box.

Friday, October 30, 2026

Election-law expert says no other administration would consider criminal charges in Alaska Senate case; but with Trump's weaponized DOJ, anything can happen

(WOWK 13 News, Facebook)


We are just four days from the 2026 midterm elections, and a New York Times story about a "ballot stacking" scheme designed to boost the chances of Democrat Mary Peltola has roiled Alaska's U.S. Senate race. One of the nation's foremost authorities on election law is following the case and concludes that it shows all of the signs of packing a serious political punch. What about a legal punch, as in a criminal court case that could cast doubt on the midterm results? Rick Hasen, a law professor at UCLA who runs the Election Law Blog and is a frequent contributor at the site, does not see that happening -- partly because the U.S. Constitution places the administration of congressional elections in the hands of states, not the federal government. That should put a crimp in any plans the Trump Department of Justice (DOJ) might have to turn Alaska in favor of Republicans. 

What other thoughts does Hasen have about the Alaska controversy, which essentially boils down to possible voter confusion caused by having two "Dan Sullivans" on the ballot? Under the headline "The legal implications (or not) of The New York Times bombshell story alleging Democrats recruited the second "Dan Sullivan" to run in the Alaska U.S. Senate race," Hasen writes:

Today’s New York Times story, if true, strikes me as a political bombshell: despite public denials of a connection, people associated with Democratic U.S. Senate candidate in Alaska Mary Peltola and Democratic Party officials recruited the second “Dan Sullivan” to run against the incumbent Republican U.S. Senator from Alaska, Dan S. Sullivan. The hope would be to siphon votes away from Sen. Sullivan. (As a political play, I’m skeptical that this would work, given Alaska’s ranked choice voting approach would allow ranking both Dan Sullivans as 1 and 2, thereby not helping Peltola.)

But what, if any, are the legal implications of the story (if true)?

To begin with, I don’t think it has any bearing at all on the current litigation in which the U.S. Department of Justice seeks to delay certification of the race if Dan S. Sullivan narrowly loses on grounds of purported voter confusion. The lawsuit is not going anywhere for any number of reasons, but even assuming DOJ’s theory that it can sue to block certification, it is irrelevant as to why voters might face confusion over the two Dan Sullivans. (This has not stopped DOJ from now supporting DSCC intervention so that it can get discovery over a potential “conspiracy”). [Disclosure: I will soon be filing a motion to file an amicus brief on my own behalf supporting the State of Alaska in this case.]

Second, if there is any evidence that anyone lied under oath about the cooperation between Democrats and Dan J. Sullivan, that could be grounds for a perjury prosecution. So far I’m not aware of any such allegation in the case.

Third, this leaves the question whether this could be prosecuted as some kind of conspiracy against voters. To begin with, it is regular practice for people to support candidates for bad motives: Republicans boosting Greens and Democrats boosting Libertarians. It turns out that Elon Musk alone may have bankrolled left-leaning Cornel West’s quest to get on the 2024 presidential eiection ballot. The effort in Alaska is just an extreme version of that. From The Times’s story: “Ballot-stacking tactics are common in politics and generally considered legal — and have been employed by both parties in Alaska. But this operation, which has not been reported before, reveals the lengths to which Democrats went to seek advantage in a Senate race that could determine control of the chamber.”

That might not stop DOJ from trying to prosecute it. But I think such a claim would fail. As Shelby Wayment and I wrote before these revelations came to light: “In Alaska…President Trump and AG Blanche have said there could be a crime and we know there has been a federal criminal investigation; the closest we could come up with is this Wall Street Journal (WSJ) column alleging Dan J. Sullivan conspired with Democrats to deprive voters of their civil rights in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 241. The DOJ’s complaint does not state a claim of 18 U.S.C. § 241; instead the DOJ relies on a vague statement of purpose from the NVRA (52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(3)). If DOJ tries to prosecute Dan J., his candidacy is likely protected by the First Amendment. (The case is easily distinguishable from Mackey, that the WSJ authors relied upon, which involved a lie about when, where or how people vote; Dan J. Sullivan, so far as we know, did not lie about his name or anything else).” 

In a post dated August 18, 2026, Hasen noted that the Alaska case raises a wide variety of possible legal issues -- includng free speech,  conspiracy, wire fraud, civil rights, and more. But ultimately, Hasen concludes, the case boils down to potentially prosecuting someone for having dishonest motives in running for office. Is that the kind of act the government can, or should, seek to criminalize? Hasen has serious doubts, and he writes:

Now we cannot be sure what Dan J.’s motivations are (see this NY Times report with lots of reasons but no ironclad evidence to think J. is actually running to help the Democrat). But let’s assume he’s running to help Peltola.

If Dan J. ultimately is charged with violating the Ku Klux Klan Act (18 U.S.C. s 241), which punishes a conspiracy to “injure, oppress, threaten, or intimidate any person in any State. . . in the free exercise or enjoyment of any right or privilege secured to him by the Constitution or laws of the United States,” I think J. would have a very strong First Amendment defense (and likely for the wire fraud claims too, but I don’t know enough about what the basis for those charges might be). 

There have been cases involving lying to people about the mechanics of elections–when, where or how people vote–most recently and famously in the Douglas Mackey (Ricky Vaughn) case. Mackey was convicted of violating section 241 by tricking voters on Twitter into “voting by text” (not a thing) for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. I filed an amicus brief arguing that such a prosecution is consistent with the First Amendment, and my friend and colleague Eugene Volokh filed on the other side, pointing especially to the vagueness of the statute. (We both agree, though, that narrow laws aimed at lying about voting mechanics are likely constitutional). The Second Circuit held there was no conspiracy as required by section 241, reversing Mackey’s conviction, and it did not reach the First Amendment issue. 

But this is not a case about tricking someone about the mechanics of the election not to vote. Nor is it a case of impersonation: J. is really named “Daniel Sullivan.” It is not even a case about J. telling a campaign lie. (Volokh says the First Amendment should prevent the state from criminalizing such lies: “on balance it seems to me that the traditional approach of candidates pointing out their rivals’ lies, often supplemented by the media chiming in, is the least bad of a bad set of options”).

This is a case about someone running for office with impure motives who is lucky enough to have a name that could confuse some voters. The solution to this problem is counterspeech (as in: “Don’t vote for J.! Vote for the real Senator Daniel S. Sullivan”.)

I don’t see how the government could criminalize his running for office while  having impure motives. And if it could do so, then it could be a crime every time that the Republican Party backs a Green Party candidate, or Democrats support a MAGA candidate in a primary in the hopes that the candidate would be weaker against a Democrat in the general election. This stuff happens all the time.

It would be quite dangerous for the state to start criminally prosecuting people for their political beliefs and secret motives. Are we going to put people on trial and probe their political allegiances?

I expect that if J. is indicted, these First Amendment issues would loom quite large. Indeed, I would expect any other administration’s DOJ -- Democrat or Republican -- not to even consider charges in a case like this, given those free-speech issues. But the Trump DOJ has been weaponized against the president’s political opponents, and so we will have to watch what happens.