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Donald Trump's invasion of Venezuela -- even though he doesn't use the "I word" -- already is showing signs of turning into an international slog, a quagmire. Experts are signaling that other nations could become involved. Who might that be? Robert Reich, who worked in the administrations of presidents Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter -- and as labor secretary under Bill Clinton and a member of Barack Obama's economic transition board -- mentions Cuba and Colombia. Anybody else? Reich goes on to mention Russia and China.
That sounds like fun.
In short, Reich is one smart and experienced fellow. Best of all, he's a libtard. (I've come to use that word as a badge of honor). TIME magazine has named Reich one of the 10 most effective cabinet members of the [20th] century. The Wall Street Journal placed him No. 6 on its list of most influential business thinkers. When Reich suggests Trump has little clue what he is doing -- perhaps leading us into an Afghanistan-style mess -- people around the world should listen.
Reich's take on events of the past few days involves stark, ominous language. At his Substack page, under the headline "The Quagmire of Trump's Venezuela," Reich writes:
The story of what’s happening in Venezuela is unfolding quickly and big questions are mounting. The immediate danger in Venezuela (and potentially in Colombia and Cuba) is chaos.
Asked who’s in charge of Venezuela, Trump answered: “We’re in charge.”
What the hell does this bluster really mean?
Some commentators have noted that Trump -- having ordered the arrest of Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores -- seems so pleased with himself that he is almost taking a victory lap. We have a president who enjoys being a bully. But Reich, serving as the much-needed adult in the room, notes that victory laps can be premature -- and come with downsides. He writes:
U.S. troops are not prepared to occupy Venezuela. Trying to do so would be a disaster.
Maduro’s system of oppression is still entrenched there. It includes the national guard, the army, the national police, the intelligence service, and the Colombian guerrilla group ELN. All remain intact.
Maduro’s top lieutenants also remain, including several who were involved in his alleged crimes. Not to mention his thugs and narco-traffickers who have been controlling Venezuela through violent repression and stolen elections.
"Violent repression and stolen elections"? Maybe Trump should ask them to join the Republican Party. Reich likely would not see the humor in that line. He notes that Venezuela, as a country, comes with complications -- and suggests Trump neither knows nor cares about such niceties. You mean Dear Leader might not know what he's getting into? Imagine that. Reich writes:
Venezuela has roughly 28 million people. There’s no way to determine the emerging balance of power between pro- and anti-Maduro camps, but it’s a safe bet that any power void is likely to be filled with violence.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke of “coercing” the Venezuelan government to make policy changes over its oil reserves, rather than “running” the country: American forces will prevent oil tankers from entering and leaving Venezuela until the government opens up the state-controlled oil industry to foreign investment — presumably giving priority to American companies.
But since August, America has had an arsenal of warships, jet fighters, and some 15,000 troops on Venezuela’s doorstep, which hasn’t stopped oil shipments. How big must the arsenal be to do the job? How long will it remain there? At what cost? Will we bomb Russian or Chinese tankers coming into or out of Venezuela?
Let's hope Reich will be careful about what he says. Trump might decide bombing Russian or Chinese tankers is a good idea. Meanwhile, the orange turd's allies explain his actions as being "in the national interests of the United States." Reich scoffs at such naivete:
Rubio emphasized that “the national interest of the United States … is No. 1.” But what exactly is the “national interest” of the United States here? Big Oil? Chevron has been in Venezuela for years. Do we declare victory when Exxon-Mobil is there, too? Do we insist that Venezuela not charge American oil companies any extraction fees? How profitable must Big Oil’s extractions of oil from Venezuela become before Trump is satisfied?
Rubio says Trump hasn’t ruled out troops on the ground. But does anyone remember what happened in Iraq after the U.S. invasion there? Libya? Syria? Hello? How many failed states do we need to create before we understand their danger to the stability of an entire region of the globe?
Trump has talked tough about having no fear of placing American "boots on the ground." That has prompted some online wise crackers to suggest that first sons Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump, and Barron Trump should get ready to sign up for the U.S. Army. Some wonder if the Trump boys might, like their father, develop a sudden case of "bone spurs." Junior and Eric, however, are known for flying to far-flung paces like Zimbabwe to kill wild game, such as a leopard -- who likely was minding his own business, munching on a wildebeest. If the boys are fit enough and fearless enough to do that, some have wondered, maybe they should sign up to fight in daddy's budding war for Venezuelan oil.
Let's assume, for now, that any war in Venezuela will be fought without the efforts of the Trump spawn. Does that mean "boots on the ground" is just a spiffy phrase for daddy to play with -- as he might with a 13-year-old girl at Jeffrey Epstein's New York apartment.
Do the downsides of Trump's venture in imperialism end there? Not by a long shot, Reich says:
"We’re now fanning the flames of anti-Americanism, both in Venezuela and elsewhere in Latin America. In Delcy Rodriguez’s first remarks after Trump made her interim president, she condemned Maduro’s capture. “What is being done to Venezuela is a barbarity,” she said, adding that Maduro is Venezuela’s “only president.”
Trump said later that if Rodriguez doesn’t cooperate, “she is going to pay a very big price, probably bigger than Maduro.”
Trump won’t consider anyone who “doesn’t cooperate.”
Earlier, he spoke dismissively about Maria Corina Machado, who recently left Venezuela to accept the Nobel Peace Prize. "I think it'd be very tough for her to be the leader,” Trump said, even though international election experts say a candidate she supported, Edmundo González, beat Maduro by a wide margin in 2024. “She's a very nice woman but she doesn't have the respect."
For Trump, “respect” means the power to bully. “America is respected again,” he gloated in his address to the nation on December 9. “Our nation is strong, and America is BACK.”
Wrong. Gunboat diplomacy is back.

